Podcast: Rolls-Royce Wants A Piece Of The Next-Gen Narrowbody Market

Some 14 years after exiting the single-aisle engine market, Rolls-Royce is trying to get back into it, unveiling a new engine concept called the UltraFan 30—but can it break the CFM-Pratt duopoly?

Editors are joined by guest columnist Scott Mikus, director of Melius Research covering aerospace, to discuss the dynamics in next-generation single-aisle propulsion.


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AI-Generated Summary

The podcast delves into the future of propulsion systems for the next generation of single-aisle airliners, projected for post-2030. The discussion centers on Rolls-Royce's ambition to re-establish itself as a key player in the narrow-body engine market, competing alongside CFM and Pratt & Whitney. 

The panel explores various propulsion architectures, including open rotor and ducted designs, and their integration with airframes. Rolls-Royce's Ultrafan 30 concept is highlighted, focusing on its packaging and installation challenges, particularly the need for a larger fan that fits under the wing. 

The conversation also touches on the competitive landscape, with CFM's Rise and Pratt & Whitney's Gen 2 geared turbofan as notable contenders. The panelists discuss the market dynamics, noting Airbus and Boeing's consideration of multiple engine options for future narrow-bodies, driven by a potential 2030 launch. 

They also address the economic models, emphasizing the misalignment between airframers' and engine OEMs' profit drivers, and propose solutions like shared development costs or aftermarket royalties. The discussion acknowledges the challenges posed by regulatory and antitrust issues. 

Additionally, the panel reflects on industry sentiment, citing Pratt & Whitney's delivery performance and Airbus's comments on GTF supply pressures as factors that could open opportunities for new entrants, despite the technical and political risks involved.

Key Topics:

  • Future propulsion systems for airliners
  • Rolls-Royce's potential market re-entry strategy
  • Open rotor vs. ducted engine designs
  • Integration challenges with airframes
  • Competitive landscape and market dynamics
  • Economic models and profit alignment
  • Regulatory and antitrust challenges
  • Industry sentiment and new entrant opportunities
Joe Anselmo

Joe Anselmo has been Editorial Director of the Aviation Week Network and Editor-in-Chief of Aviation Week & Space Technology since 2013. Based in Washington, D.C., he directs a team of more than two dozen aerospace journalists across the U.S., Europe and Asia-Pacific.

Jens Flottau

Based in Frankfurt, Germany, Jens is executive editor and leads Aviation Week Network’s global team of journalists covering commercial aviation.

Guy Norris

Guy is a Senior Editor for Aviation Week, covering technology and propulsion. He is based in Colorado Springs.

Scott Mikus

Contributing columnist Scott Mikus is director of Melius Research covering aerospace, defense and space.