Bizav Fleet Forecast: Europe To Reach 5,500 Aircraft By 2036

A Gulfstream Global 800 at NBAA-BACE 2026 in Las Vegas.

A Gulfstream Global 800 at NBAA-BACE 2026 in Las Vegas.

Credit: Molly McMillin/Aviation Week

More than 1,750 business aircraft are projected to be delivered to European customers over the 10-year period from 2027 to 2036, according to the 2027 Aviation Week Business Aviation Fleet & MRO Forecast.

Broken down, deliveries to Europe, including Eastern and Western Europe, include 1,320 jets and 478 turboprop shipments over the decade. Single-engine turboprops are expected to comprise 25% of the deliveries to Europe, the largest segment, followed by light business jets at 21% and ultra-long-range jets at 20%.

The forecast projects the Pilatus PC-12 to see the highest number of new unit deliveries of new-build aircraft to customers in the region, followed by Daher’s TBM series, Embraer’s Phenom 300 and Textron Aviation’s Citation Latitude.

In the meantime, the in-service business aviation fleet in Europe is expected to climb from just over 4,200 aircraft in 2027 to nearly 5,500 units at the end of 2036, a 2.8% compound annual growth rate, higher than the world average of 1.3%, Aviation Week’s forecast says.

By manufacturer, Textron Aviation, Gulfstream and Pilatus Aircraft are projected to be the most popular new deliveries into this region, worth $27.9 billion at retail rates, out of the $48.7 billion total. Maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) dollar demand for business aircraft in the region, meanwhile, is projected to grow at a 3.9% annual rate, compared with 3.2% globally before inflation.

Textron Aviation is expected to deliver the most business aircraft over the forecast period with 25% of total deliveries. Gulfstream, Pilatus and Bombardier are expected to contribute more than a 10% share of overall deliveries in the region.

Antoine Fafard

Antoine works as an analyst for Aviation Week, focusing on commercial fleets and MRO.

Molly McMillin

Molly McMillin is managing editor of business aviation for Aviation Week and editor-in-chief of the Business Aviation & AAM Report, an Aviation Week market intelligence report.