对于飞机制造商来说,停产通常是不可行的选择 | Stopping Production Is Generally Not Feasible For Airframers

Airbus A350 production line
Airbus reduced A350 production to six from an average 9.5 aircraft per month.
Credit: Airbus

如果没有其他考虑,商用航空制造商的生产是严格根据客户的需求来确定的,那么在目前新冠疫情流行阶段,各制造商所能采取的最佳措施就是暂时关闭生产线,并在情况好转时重新开放。正如波音和空客公司最近的月度交付数据所显示的那样,几乎没有客户购买新飞机,而且可能采购意愿都很少。而少数边缘产业为这个行业提供了非常有限的收入。

If commercial aerospace industry production decisions were defined strictly by customer demand and no other considerations, the best move manufacturers could make at this stage of the COVID-19 pandemic would be simply to shut down temporarily and reopen when things get better. As the most recent monthly delivery figures for Boeing and Airbus show, hardly any customer is taking delivery of new aircraft and probably none want to. The few exceptions are providing a very limited stream of revenue to an industry on the brink.

 

尽管他们面临着巨大的困难,但OEM制造商们仍在生产飞机。这表明制造商们的业务非常复杂,生产还需要考虑许多其他因素。

That OEMs still are producing aircraft in spite of the overwhelming odds they are facing indicates the complexities of their business and the many other factors they need to take into account.

目前的生产水平相对低迷的需求来说仍然较高,而诸如保持尽可能多的供应链完整是其主要原因之一。OEM制造商关闭生产线可能会使成千上万的供应商倒闭,而为满足疫情来袭前A&D行业的业务增长水平,几乎所有供应商都增加了员工和固定资产。

Keeping intact as much of the supply chain as possible is one main reason for the relatively high level of production. Shutting down production lines potentially shuts down thousands of suppliers, almost all of whom built up staff and fixed assets to meet prepandemic historic levels of A&D business.

最重要的是,由于许多不同的原因,停止生产通常不是OEM制造商们可行的选择。

The bottom line is that stopping production is generally not a feasible option for many different reasons.