2020年公务机交付量预计减少40％ | 40% Fewer Business Aircraft Deliveries In 2020 Forecasted

在进入2020年时，公务航空领域正处于转型期。在2009年金融危机之后，该行业从未完全从低迷中恢复过来。对此，公务机制造商进行了合理化生产并更新了产品线。但是对于在21世纪最初几年中公务机的井喷式增长来说，现在的形势表明该行业的低迷、扁平化已成为新的常态。

Business aviation was an industry in transition as it entered 2020. The sector never fully recovered from its downturn after the 2009 financial crisis. Manufacturers rationalized production and refreshed product lines in response. But for a market that grew giddily in the first years of the new century, only to crash, flat had become the new normal.

新冠病毒疫情流行的直接影响是由于企业的出行限制而无法将飞机交付给客户，而旅行限制也锁住制造商们的销售团队无法前往客户所在地进行工作。因此公务机制造商报告说第一季度虽然飞机的订单下降，但是订单取消的很少。

The immediate effect of the pandemic was an inability to hand aircraft over to customers because of travel restrictions. Travel restrictions also kept sales teams locked down, so manufacturers reported a drop in orders for the first quarter. But cancellations were few. 

杰富瑞（Jefferies）的分析师预计，由于全球经济放缓而导致的需求下降，预计今年的公务机交付量将比往年减少40％。

Anticipating lower demand because of a global economic slowdown, analysts at Jefferies forecast 40% fewer deliveries this year.

虽然话虽如此，但公务机行业认为市场仍将复苏，并可能在疫情之后从中受益。市场观察家说，2009年经济危机背后的因素主要包括行业不理性的繁荣、生产过剩、财富蒸发等，在这次危机中并不存在。

That said, the industry believes the market will recover and may actually benefit in the aftermath of the pandemic. The factors behind the collapse of 2009—irrational exuberance, overproduction, wealth destruction and stigmatization—are not present this time, say market watchers.