Forecasting the MRO market for specific aircraft and engine types used to be relatively straightforward. Assuming the equipment was well-received in the marketplace with a diverse customer base, one could safely project 20-25-year life spans involving multiple levels of operators, from mainline carriers to niche operators and, in many cases, even cargo haulers. But forecasting the airline business—while never easy—continues to grow more complex. A good example is the 50-seat ...

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