According to Aviation Week Intelligence Network analysis, the new contract for three Embraer C-390s brings the number of outstanding firm or expected orders to 35, with Portugal, Austria, Brazil, Hungary, the Netherlands and the Czech Republic all expected to introduce fleets.
For more information about Aviation Week Intelligence Network’s (AWIN) 2024 Military Fleet & MRO Forecast and other Aviation Week data products, please see: https://pgs.aviationweek.com/forecast
New-build deliveries of fighter aircraft are expected to eclipse 5,000 airframes globally, for a total value of nearly $460 billion USD. Lockheed Martin’s F-35 is expected to capture 34% of that total.
Increased competition from Chinese primes like Chengdu is close at hand, with analysts predicting J-20 exports beginning in the 2030s. A look at data from Aviation Week Network’s Fleet Discovery Military tool may offer clues as to the nature of the competition to come.
Observers should not conflate China’s growing military capability with its production capacity or the viability of its military aircraft in competitive international markets.
