Making its public debut in the region, the Aerosonde Mark 4.7 small tactical unmanned aircraft system (Stuas) was set to fly at the Bahrain International Airshow last week at the Sakhir air base in Bahrain. The Mark 4.7 is AAI Corp.’s submission for the joint U.S. Navy and Marine Corps Stuas/Tier II competition. Airshow attendees can check out the Mark 4.7’s automated launch and recovery operations and view a live, full-motion video feed from the aircraft’s payload.
The stars are aligning for a pickup in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the aerospace and defense (A&D) sector. After a two-year slump, investment bankers are expecting better times in 2010, though the cumulative value of A&D deals is likely to remain well below the 2007 peak of $33 billion. A slow thawing of the credit markets is freeing up capital for M&A transactions, while sellers have come to accept that lower valuations are a reality, not an aberration.
Douglas Royce/Forecast International/www.forecastinternational.com
During the past decade, world fighter production totaled only around 2,500 units, but over the next 10 years, annual deliveries are set to rise. Unlike the 1970s and 1980s, when large numbers of dedicated ground-attack aircraft were produced in addition to fighters, the modern market for combat aircraft is focused almost exclusively on multirole fighters that can handle both the air superiority and attack missions. The U.S. Air Force recently proposed building a new bomber, but this program is not expected to deliver an aircraft until the 2020s.
Tough environmental targets are driving research into future commercial airliners on both sides of the Atlantic, but if new aircraft configurations are required to meet the aggressive goals, they could take decades to develop and deploy. Airlines, through the International Air Transport Assn., have committed to improve fuel efficiency 1.5% a year through this decade; to achieve carbon-neutral growth from 2020; and to halve carbon emissions by 2050 relative to 2005 levels.
Sikorsky expects to exceed 250 kt. with its X2 Technology coaxial-rotor compound helicopter demonstrator early in the year, resetting speed expectations for rotorcraft that have been stuck at around 150 kt. for decades.
Two remote-sensing spacecraft—one aimed at Earth and the other at the Sun—are set for Florida launches in the weeks ahead. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is due to lift off Feb. 9 from Space Launch Complex 41 at Cape Canaveral AFS on a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V, kicking off a five-year mission. The first mission in NASA’s Living With a Star program, SDO will image the Sun at resolutions 10 times higher than high-definition television—4,096 X 4,096 pixels.
Stepping up its push to become a leading player in global aerospace, South Korea proposes to build a 90-seat turboprop under an industry development plan that also seeks to press ahead with the KF-X fighter and KAH attack helicopter programs.
British aerospace and defense lobby group ADS last week at least gained a concession from the government on research and development funding: The two will meet on a regular basis to discuss the key issue.
Robert V. Dahl, Managing Director, Air Cargo Management Group
The global airfreight industry has lost nearly a decade’s worth of growth in the last year and a half, thanks to a period of unprecedented turmoil that began late in 2008 and continued throughout 2009 .
The field of electronic warfare and electronic attack is producing mixed reactions about its level of support in the Quadrennial Defense Review and 2011 budget planning . “A lot of people were counting on the electronic attack version of the F-35, but now production is being delayed,” says a scientific adviser to the Pentagon. “The Block 50 F-16 [Wild Weasels] are getting long in the tooth. Frankly, I don’t think the Air Force knows what it will do,” he says. “A huge issue that will have to be settled first is how the services will conduct joint management of EW and EA.
A group of French parliamentarians is trying to spark a high-level debate on the feasibility—or desirability—of developing a European territorial ballistic missile defense capability.
A sea change is underway in civil avionics, with integrated modular architectures, high-speed networks, widescreen displays and fly-by-wire controls becoming the norm. At the same time, traditional boundaries between market sectors are blurring as systems become scalable across a wide range of aircraft.
Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Norton Schwartz says there will be a way forward in the Fiscal 2011 budget, expected Feb. 1, for the nascent light attack and light cargo aircraft programs. These efforts are intended to provide options for international partners including Iraq, Afghanistan and possibly countries in Latin America.
Raymond Jaworowski/Forecast International/www.forecastinternational.com
During the past year or so, dwindling order intake along with rising cancellations and deferral s caused business jet manufacturers to slash production rates and employment rolls as they strove to protect shrinking order backlogs and navigate through a severe market slump.
William Alibrandi/Forecast International/www.forecastinternational.com
Although the business jet market is feeling the effects of the slow global economy, development of new engines for current and future aircraft continues. In spite of airframers ceasing production of some models, thus limiting the number of available platforms, several aircraft engine companies have garnered new business by adding variants or incorporating advanced technology into their powerplants .
Defense Dept. personnel continue to lead the way for U.S. government relief efforts in Haiti, relying on air and space assets to assess the damage, target relief efforts and deliver aid. This GeoEye-1 satellite image of Toussaint L’Ouverture International Airport in Port-au-Prince, collected four days after the devastating Magnitude-7 earthquake, shows international rescue and recovery forces staging there.
The British government is further tightening aviation security measures, including setting up a no-fly list and another list for persons who will face additional security checks at airports. Moreover, owing to security weaknesses at Yemen’s main airport in Sana, Yemenia has been barred, temporarily, from operating to the U.K. until the situation is alleviated.
Douglas Royce/Forecast International/www.forecastinternational.com
Piston- and turboprop-powered general aviation (GA) aircraft manufacturers are poised to turn out more than 22,000 aircraft worth $25 billion over the next 10 years. This total excludes production of the new category of Light Sport Aircraft (LSA).
Intersputnik has concluded an agreement to lease 16 transponders on Eutelsat’s big W7 satellite. Built by Thales Alenia Space and launched on Nov. 24, W7 carries 70 Ku-band transponders. It is collocated at 36 deg. E. Long. with W4, which carries four Intersputnik channels. The agreement, for the life of the satellite, will permit Eutelsat to double capacity at the 36-deg. slot, where traffic has grown 15% during the past 18 months, principally from demand in Russia and Africa.
Alexander Velovich/FORECAST INTERNATIONAL/www.forecastinternational.com
Fixed-Wing and Rotary-Wing Air aircraft Research Institutes GosNIIAS (State Research Institute of Aviation Systems) (Moscow) is a think tank focused on combat aircraft, aviation weapons systems and military avionics. The institute has an important role in the development of software for onboard mission computers and the integration of weapon control systems.
The future of U.S. human spaceflight may be unclear, but NASA and its international counterparts continue to keep the Moon and Mars in their sights with robotic missions. China will be first to return to the Moon with the Chang’e 2 orbiter planned for launch in October. This is similar to Chang’e 1, which ended its mapping mission in March 2009. A lander with rover is planned for 2013, followed by a sample return mission.
John S. Edwards/Forecast International/www.forecastinternational.com
The concept of using a booster repeatedly makes sense, especially if it drastically lowers the cost of placing a payload in orbit. Although a true RLV has not yet been fielded, those looking to stake a claim on the potentially lucrative space tourism market plan to take a step in that direction.