8 Ways the Aftermarket Recovery Might Vary by Segment

Credit: MTU Maintenance

1. Deferred maintenance and reduced capacity by providers looking to ride out the pandemic could lead to backlogs very soon.

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2. Component work will likely rebound most rapidly, as airlines seek to keep aircraft moving.

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3. The airframe overhaul market may recover more quickly than one might expect—particularly on the narrowbody side. 

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Credit: Safran

4. Engine MRO will return as flying increases, with long-term contracts and early retirements having a strong impact.

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Credit: IATA

5. Used serviceable material (USM) stocks will pick up as newly retired airframes and engines are torn down to feed the still-operational fleet, but talk of a tsunami may be premature. 

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Credit: United Airlines

6. A focus on cost-management from airlines for the foreseeable future will create opportunities for OEM alternatives.

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Credit: MRO Holdings

7. Suppliers of alternative material may see a real benefit as demand increases and airlines stay focussed on cost-management.

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Credit: CFM International

8. Airframe and engine manufacturers may shift their focus to nurturing decimated production rates and related supply chains, and near-term opportunities for parts manufacturer approval (PMA). This could lead to an emergence of specialists.

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After a dismal 2020 that saw sales in most areas of the commercial aftermarket fall off dramatically, the near term should bring comfort in the form of year-over-year growth. But just how quickly the MRO market will bounce back remains to be seen, as does how each segment will fare during the recovery.

Read the full article - Aftermarket Rally Will Vary By Segment, by Sean Broderick