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2015 Delivery Forecasts

Graham Warwick December 29, 2014

Fighter/Attack Aircraft

Accelerating production of the F-35 for U.S. and international customers, plus remaining F-16 deliveries, will give Lockheed Martin a dominant share of the combat-aircraft market. Read more about the outlook for fighters in 2015: J-10B, F-35 Nearing In-Service Debuts

Military Transport Aircraft

With the A330 MRTT and A400M, Airbus will take a growing share of the tanker/transport market by value, but C-130J deliveries will keep Lockheed Martin ahead in units delivered. Read more about the outlook for military transports in 2015: Non-U.S. Suppliers Take Bigger Share Of Tanker/Transport Market

Missiles

China is a major producer of guided weapons, but the higher value of Western systems will keep U.S. companies on top of the missile market in dollar terms. Read more about the outlook for missiles in 2015: Arming New Platforms Will Push Up Value Of Missiles Market; Pentagon’s New Kill Vehicle Strategy Expected Soon

UAS: Production Shares and Market Shares

Medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) unmanned aircraft continue to be the biggest military market, but the U.S. share of the UAS market is slipping. Read more about the outlook for UAS in 2015: China Poised To Become Biggest Buyer Of Unmanned Aircraft

UAS: Development Funding and Manufacturer Shares

The U.S. continues to spend the most on UAS research and development, and U.S. military programs continue to be the largest in the market. Read more about the outlook for UAS in 2015: China Poised To Become Biggest Buyer Of Unmanned Aircraft

Commercial Aircraft

Airbus and Boeing will continue to split the commercial aircraft market roughly evenly, leaving other manufacturers far behind in units and dollar terms. Read more about the outlook for commercial transport aircraft in 2015: A320neo First Delivery To Herald Era Of Reengined Derivatives

Business Jets

The market shift toward larger business jets will see Bombardier, Gulfstream and Dassault increase their market shares, with new mid-size aircraft helping Cessna and Embraer. Read more about the outlook for business jets in 2015: Large-Cabin Aircraft To Dominate Business Jet Sales

Civil Rotorcraft

New medium and super-medium helicopters will boost European manufacturers’ already-dominant share of the commercial market in value terms. Read more about the outlook for civil rotorcraft in 2015: New Helicopters Ready To Enter Market In 2015

Satellites

Demand for large, high-throughput commercial communications satellites will ensure European and U.S. manufacturers will take the biggest shares of the market. Read more about the outlook for satellites in 2015: Technologies Promise Better Satellites—Smaller, Cheaper and Faster
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Aviation Week & Space Technology’s Aerospace & Defense 2015 issue presents delivery forecasts for a range of industry sectors, from combat and unmanned aircraft to commercial and military transports. Those charts are presented here.

Graham Warwick

Graham leads Aviation Week's coverage of technology, focusing on engineering and technology across the aerospace industry, with a special focus on identifying technologies of strategic importance to aviation, aerospace and defense.

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