2020 Widebody Deliveries Down More Than 50% Compared To 2019 | 2020年宽体机交付量比2019年下降50%以上

Credit: Jeremy Dwyer-Lindgren, Seattle, Washington

由于新冠疫情,国际间的航空旅行几乎在一夜之间消失了。 结果全球许多航空公司也延迟或取消了他们的大型飞机订单。

International air travel disappeared practically overnight because of COVID-19. As a result, many airlines globally delayed or cancelled their large aircraft orders. 

《航空周刊》的数据显示,全球在2020年交付了814架飞机,而2019年交付了1492架,减少了45%。

Aviation Week data shows that a total of 814 aircraft were delivered in 2020 compared to 1,492 in 2019, a reduction of 45%.

 

业界已经达成共识,那就是宽体机市场将需要很多年才能恢复原状。甚至在新冠疫情大流行之前,宽体机市场就已经多年放缓了增长,其中部分原因是在2010年代初期的航空市场繁荣时期,航空公司都采购了过多的宽体机。后来航空公司也开始意识到有些飞机确实太大了,例如波音777X和A350-1000,更不用说更大的波音747-8和A380。

There is consensus that the widebody segment will take many years to return to where it was. Even before the COVID-19 pandemic hit, the widebody market had been slow for years partly because of over-ordering during the boom in the early 2010s. Airlines have also begun to realize that some of the models on offer are simply too big—such as the 777X and the A350-1000, not to mention the 747-8 and the A380.

随着航空业摆脱危机,航空公司可能会选择使用更多的远程窄体机,以减少投资和重复性成本,从而进一步抑制对宽体机的需求。航空公司还将获得大量的廉价二手飞机,相比于新飞机,他们可能会更喜欢这二手机。

As the industry flies out of the crisis, airlines could opt to use more long-haul narrowbodies where feasible to cut back on investment and recurring costs, further dampening demand for widebodies.  They would also have access to a large pool of cheap used aircraft that they might prefer over new orders.