Honeywell’s Business Jet Outlook covers the 2009 to 2019 period, 11 years. Its unit delivery forecast predicts 10,000 to 11,000 new jets worth $200 billion during that period. Honeywell is a little less forthcoming about its methodology, but states the outlook is based on a survey of 1,200 corporate, airframe manufacturers (presumably one of which is Embraer, a major Honeywell engine and avionics customer) — and then cryptically refers to “other sources” of information. Just the unit ...

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