According to NASA’s long-standing safety oversight panel, odds are neither SpaceX nor Boeing will be able to meet Commercial Crew program requirements for vehicles with just a 1-in-500 chance of crew fatality during launch and reentry and an overall 1-in-270 chance of crew loss during a 210-day spaceflight. That does not mean that SpaceX’s Falcon 9-Dragon and Boeing’s Atlas V-CST-100 Starliner are not safe.  The loss-of-crew (LOC) metric provides NASA a way to ...


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