Richard Aboulafia

Richard Aboulafia

Contributing columnist Richard Aboulafia is vice president of analysis at Teal Group. He is based in Washington.

Articles
Opinion: Why Franco-German Fighter Is A Very Bad Idea  26
Differences in foreign policy, arms-sales practices and industrial incentives could kill the aircraft before it gets off the ground.
Podcast: Putting Odds on Boeing's NMA 1
Why did Rolls-Royce say “no thank you” to Boeing’s NMA? How might Airbus respond? Listen in as we discuss the risks of launching a new mid-market airliner.
Opinion: Why Boeing’s NMA Is Not A Done Deal  26
Consider the two primary sources of NMA demand: upgauging from single-aisle routes and replacements for current single-aisle jets.
Opinion: Has Trump Had Any Impact On Aerospace?  6
Halfway in, the Trump administration’s effect on the industry is muted, and there are major issues undecided.
Opinion: Why The Widebody Market Is Mired In Misery  7
Route fragmentation that is killing large quadjets is also badly hurting medium-large twin-aisles.
Opinion: Why Commercial Airplanes Are Behind Boeing’s Military Wins  12
These victories, while impressive, have led to questions on pricing and whether the company is effectively buying the market by offering the lowest prices around.
Podcast: Why Boeing Just Can’t Lose
Low bids propped up by its commercial airplane business helped Boeing snare $25 billion in military contracts including the T-X, MQ-25 and MH-139 competitions. But could the OEM’s strategy backfire in the long run? Aviation Week editors and Teal Group’s Richard Aboulafia break it down.
Opinion: Why Japan’s Aerospace Strategy Needs A Rethink 
Japan is one of the world’s most important supplier nations, but events this year show that its position faces major challenges.
Opinion: Why The Time May Be Ripe For The UK Tempest  4
The UK has a very important advantage in developing a new European combat aircraft.
What’s Really Going On In Aerospace? 1
Teal Group analyst Richard Aboulafia joins Aviation Week’s Joe Anselmo for an industry deep-dive at the Farnborough Airshow.
Opinion: Global Aerospace Industry May Be at Record High
The world aerospace industry produced direct revenues of US$838 billion in 2017. This is the top line number from Aerodynamic Advisory and Teal Group’s joint research project.
Opinion: Why Military Transports Are Less Popular Than You'd Expect  16
Between its 2011 peak and last year, the market fell by 7%. Stated requirements and program funding imply an additional 50% market drop by 2027.
Opinion: China’s Misguided Grab For Aerospace IP  8
China’s mandatory technology-transfer policy is having a deleterious effect on its aerospace development strategy.
Opinion: Boeing On Trade-War Front Line  2
l“Trade wars are good and easy to win.” Thus tweeted President Donald Trump in early March. But for the jetliner industry, trade wars are a potentially toxic exogenous shock. Jetliners are uniquely vulnerable to retaliation, particularly from China.
Opinion: F-35 Catalyzes High-End Export Fighter Market  3
Increased operational flexibility and greater ability to track targets over larger areas are draws for air forces that have fewer aircraft.
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