Malaysia-based is launching an initial public offering (IPO) to help fund its ambitious fleet and network expansion plans, one of a series of airline sales deals that are shaking up the industry in Southeast Asia.
As well as theX move, Thai carrier Nok Air has also recently launched an IPO to support its own growth agenda. And long-time Philippine Airlines majority owner Lucio Tan is considering selling his stake in the carrier to unnamed investors.
But the AirAsia X deal is arguably the most significant. The money raised by the IPO will help the airline silence doubts that a long-haul, low-cost business model is viable. The carrier was forced to withdraw its services to Europe and India in early 2012, although it managed to report a net profit of 33.8 million ringgit ($10.8 million) in the year ended Dec. 31, 2012.
AirAsia X is one of only a handful of low-cost, long-haul operators, according to an independent consultant report cited by AirAsia X. The others are Jetstar and Scoot, with Cebu Pacific expected to join the list later this year. The report finds that “the low-cost model can be challenging to apply to the long-haul market, but recently carriers have found ways to overcome many of the challenges.”
The airline, which is part of the AirAsia group, estimates it will raise $275 million from the IPO. However, external estimates range up to $415 million. The carrier is owned by AirAsia and various investor groups, most of which will see their ownership stake reduced due to a combined share sale and new issuance.
A prospectus for the IPO was officially issued on June 10, when the retail and institutional share offerings were also opened. The retail offering will close on June 19, and the institutional offering on June 24. The company will be listed on July 10.
The retail offering will comprise 10.6% of the enlarged capital of the company, and the offering to institutional investors will comprise 22.7%. Upon listing, the company estimates its market capitalization will be $1.08 billion.
In the prospectus, AirAsia X outlines that the proceeds of the IPO will be split between repaying bank debt, capital expenditure and general working capital. More specifically, it will repay lending that financed security deposits on new aircraft under operating leases in 2013 and 2014. Reducing the debt level will also provide the carrier the “flexibility to fund our expansion of operations and to raise financing as and when attractive opportunities arise.”
AirAsia X currently operates a fleet of 10-300s, and has two -300s that are wet-leased to other operators. The airline has taken delivery of another A330, which is due to begin operations in July. Its average fleet age as of March was 4.9 years.
A further 22 A330-300s are due for delivery by 2017, and AirAsia X also has a firm order for 10-900s for delivery from 2018. Five of the A330s are scheduled to be delivered in 2013, and seven in 2014.
The carrier flies to 14 destinations across Asia and Australia, and one in the Middle East. A 15th destination, Busan, is to be added in July. It also taps into the extensive short-haul network operated by the rest of the AirAsia group.
The airline's hub atoffers considerable growth opportunities for its business model, the carrier says in the prospectus. It claims its hub has the largest low-cost-carrier feeder network of any airport in the Asia-Pacific region, in terms of flight frequencies and destinations, but it is under-served for long-haul routes.
Network expansion will come partly from increasing frequency on existing routes. The airline says that 12 of its 14 destinations are major metropolitan cities where it could profitably boost frequencies to twice daily. Load factors on each of these routes are already above 80%. The carrier plans to increase its Sydney, Melbourne, Perth and Taipei flights to double-daily this year.
New routes in existing markets are also being targeted. These include Adelaide in Australia, Nagoya and Fukuoka in Japan, and Chongqing and Xian in China.
Also, there are “several potential new markets” in South and Central Asia, North Africa and Eastern Europe “that are within a commercially viable flying radius” for A330-300s from Kuala Lumpur, the carrier notes. The arrival of the A350s will add even more potential destinations.
AirAsia X says it plans to establish new hubs in countries such as Indonesia, Thailand, Japan and the Philippines—locations where it can “leverage the existing presence” of the short-haul operations of the AirAsia group for feeder traffic. The first of these is expected to be in Thailand, using AirAsia X's newly established associated company Thai AAX Co. Ltd.