Worrying Trends For MRO


If the MRO forecasts are right, then the industry has something to worry about, particularly in Europe. The sector is expected to grow by around 3.3% globally over the next ten years. That looks like solid growth compared to what is forecast for GDP in general. But within the framework of the air transport industry, it is actually less then it should be and it shows some remarkable structural trends.

That is because of simple math: air transport is to grow by up to 5% annually, depending on who you ask, so there is clearly much less work to be done per aircraft in the future, as fleets are getting significantly younger. Airlines simply can’t afford to fly around old aircraft that burn more fuel than those of their competitors. The massive orders for the Boeing 737 MAX and the Airbus A320NEO as well as earlier on the 787 and the A350 are a clear proof. And more than 500 aircraft are to be retired this year, that is many more than has historically been seen.

For the MROs, that is not good news. It means the pressure is rising, and it also means that managements have to get creative in finding market niches where their companies can still grow. What happens in a weak market is otherwise consolidation in whatever form.

Please or Register to post comments.

From The Archives

Aviation Week is approaching its 100th anniversary in 2016. In a series of blogs, our editors highlight editorial content from the magazine's long and rich history.


Aug 27, 2015

Aviation Week Lifts Veil On Boeing B-52 Bomber (1952) 12

In 1952, Aviation Week provided the first details on the new Boeing B-52 bomber....More
Aug 14, 2015

Bonanza Travel Pays 3

The legendary Beechcraft Bonanza has an impressive production record, so perhaps the marketers back in 1949 were onto something when they coined the phrase "Bonanza travel pays."...More
Aug 14, 2015

Venerable Boeing 727 Prototype To Fly Again 28

The most famous 727, the prototype aircraft which would join United as N7001U, was delivered to the airline in October 1964 having served its time as a Boeing test aircraft....More
Aug 13, 2015

Aviation Week And The Bomb

Aviation News did not predict how nuclear weapons would change the world. But neither did anyone else....More
Aug 13, 2015

Collins Radar Takes The Ups And Downs Out Of Flying

Turbulence? Rockwell Collins had a solution for those bumpy rides in the early 80s with its WXR-700 Doppler Weather Radar....More
Blog Archive
Penton Corporate

Sponsored Introduction Continue on to (or wait seconds) ×