Richard Aboulafia

Richard Aboulafia

Contributing columnist Richard Aboulafia is vice president of analysis at Teal Group. He is based in Washington.

Articles
Opinion: Why The Widebody Market Is Mired In Misery  7
Route fragmentation that is killing large quadjets is also badly hurting medium-large twin-aisles.
Opinion: Why Commercial Airplanes Are Behind Boeing’s Military Wins  12
These victories, while impressive, have led to questions on pricing and whether the company is effectively buying the market by offering the lowest prices around.
Podcast: Why Boeing Just Can’t Lose
Low bids propped up by its commercial airplane business helped Boeing snare $25 billion in military contracts including the T-X, MQ-25 and MH-139 competitions. But could the OEM’s strategy backfire in the long run? Aviation Week editors and Teal Group’s Richard Aboulafia break it down.
Opinion: Why Japan’s Aerospace Strategy Needs A Rethink 
Japan is one of the world’s most important supplier nations, but events this year show that its position faces major challenges.
Opinion: Why The Time May Be Ripe For The UK Tempest  4
The UK has a very important advantage in developing a new European combat aircraft.
What’s Really Going On In Aerospace? 1
Teal Group analyst Richard Aboulafia joins Aviation Week’s Joe Anselmo for an industry deep-dive at the Farnborough Airshow.
Opinion: Global Aerospace Industry May Be at Record High
The world aerospace industry produced direct revenues of US$838 billion in 2017. This is the top line number from Aerodynamic Advisory and Teal Group’s joint research project.
Opinion: Why Military Transports Are Less Popular Than You'd Expect  16
Between its 2011 peak and last year, the market fell by 7%. Stated requirements and program funding imply an additional 50% market drop by 2027.
Opinion: China’s Misguided Grab For Aerospace IP  8
China’s mandatory technology-transfer policy is having a deleterious effect on its aerospace development strategy.
Opinion: Boeing On Trade-War Front Line  2
l“Trade wars are good and easy to win.” Thus tweeted President Donald Trump in early March. But for the jetliner industry, trade wars are a potentially toxic exogenous shock. Jetliners are uniquely vulnerable to retaliation, particularly from China.
Opinion: F-35 Catalyzes High-End Export Fighter Market  3
Increased operational flexibility and greater ability to track targets over larger areas are draws for air forces that have fewer aircraft.
Aircraft Market Outlook
Teal Group Corp. Vice President Richard Aboulafia shares his presentation to the National Aeronautic Association​ in Washington about the state of affairs of the airline industry.
Podcast: Boeing’s Trade Dispute and the Industry’s Future
What’s next for the commercial aviation and airline industry? And what’s the fallout of Boeing’s latest trade dispute? Listen in as analyst Richard Aboulafia talks to Aviation Week and ATW editors about the current state of affairs.
Opinion: The Great Jetliner Ramp-up In Perspective  18
Market demand for new aircraft can support continued growth through 2019 and even afterward.
Opinion: Endgame For The A380?  207
The aircraft’s future will be determined by Emirates, not Airbus.
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