Richard Aboulafia

Richard Aboulafia

Contributing columnist Richard Aboulafia is vice president of analysis at Teal Group. He is based in Washington.

Articles
Opinion: Why Military Transports Are Less Popular Than You'd Expect  16
Between its 2011 peak and last year, the market fell by 7%. Stated requirements and program funding imply an additional 50% market drop by 2027.
Opinion: China’s Misguided Grab For Aerospace IP  8
China’s mandatory technology-transfer policy is having a deleterious effect on its aerospace development strategy.
Opinion: Boeing On Trade-War Front Line  2
l“Trade wars are good and easy to win.” Thus tweeted President Donald Trump in early March. But for the jetliner industry, trade wars are a potentially toxic exogenous shock. Jetliners are uniquely vulnerable to retaliation, particularly from China.
Opinion: F-35 Catalyzes High-End Export Fighter Market  3
Increased operational flexibility and greater ability to track targets over larger areas are draws for air forces that have fewer aircraft.
Aircraft Market Outlook
Teal Group Corp. Vice President Richard Aboulafia shares his presentation to the National Aeronautic Association​ in Washington about the state of affairs of the airline industry.
Podcast: Boeing’s Trade Dispute and the Industry’s Future
What’s next for the commercial aviation and airline industry? And what’s the fallout of Boeing’s latest trade dispute? Listen in as analyst Richard Aboulafia talks to Aviation Week and ATW editors about the current state of affairs.
Opinion: The Great Jetliner Ramp-up In Perspective  18
Market demand for new aircraft can support continued growth through 2019 and even afterward.
Opinion: Endgame For The A380?  207
The aircraft’s future will be determined by Emirates, not Airbus.
Opinion: Could U.S. Trade Rulings Put Chill On Aircraft Financing?  47
Decades of progress toward free trade in jetliners could be undone in a few years. And Boeing could end up losing a lot in the end.
Podcast: Protectionist Threat to Aviation? 16
What are the ramifications of trade complaints by Boeing and U.S. airlines? Teal Group’s Richard Aboulafia joins Aviation Week and ATW editors to discuss.
Opinion: Have Jetliners Escaped The Boom-Bust Cycle?  16
Has the commercial aviation industry finally vanquished the cycle? Even thinking such a thing sounds hubristic, but it is difficult to argue with the numbers.
Opinion: Why Sino-Russian Widebody Project Is Not Another Airbus  85
The story of Russia’s sole twin-aisle family, and the history of Russia’s previous aviation joint ventures, serve as a cautionary tale for this project.
Opinion: Halftime Of 20-Year Outlook, Market Prefers Smaller Jets  34
The lessons from the halftime of Boeing's 20-year CMO assessment are simple: the market prefers smaller jets and hates very large jets.
Opinion: Why Things Are Looking Up For Boeing Military Aircraft  54
Improved export and U.S. orders, the T-X competition and a bridge to future fighter aircraft programs have put the Boeing unit in a better position.
Opinion: Boeing’s Twin-Aisle Midsize Jet Faces Big Challenges  107
The drumbeat for a new Boeing midsize jetliner is growing louder. But beyond the idea of a new aircraft, things get complicated. The 797’s twin-aisle configuration is the big issue.
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